Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has put up 3.8 defensive rebounds per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Bulls have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Raptors.

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