Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 18, 2023

Updated Mar 18, 2023 12:51 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 78th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Timberwolves have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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