Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 78th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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