Fred VanVleet Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 78th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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