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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors

Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has put up 5.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.

Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.

The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Raptors have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Warriors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).

The Warriors have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court.

Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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