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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 95th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 7.8 per game this year.

Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, making this a positive matchup.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 13th percentile for field goal performance without the home court advantage with a feeble 35.4% rate this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.2 fouls per game while on the road this year.

The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The Rockets are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

Fred VanVleet stands to suffer a reduction in output for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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