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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2025

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.8 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.4 minutes per game playing at home this year.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (24.4).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Fred VanVleet has sunk 88.9% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.

The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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