Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 94th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while at home, averaging 7.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.4 minutes per game playing at home this year.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The 7th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).
In terms of treys, the Rockets's poor 34.8% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 7th-worst in the league this year.

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