Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 1:30 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.2 three-pointers per game while at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has played 33.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 7th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (39.9%).
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Rockets rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Rockets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.

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