Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet registers in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing at home, logging 7.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Fred VanVleet has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 109.9 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 13.7 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Bulls, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

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