Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 25, 2025

Updated Feb 26, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The rate of field goals sunk against Damian Lillard has been remarkably high (48.8%) when he is on the road and defending other starting PGs this year (97th percentile).
The Rockets have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Bucks, making this a challenging matchup.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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