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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2025

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The rate of field goals sunk against Damian Lillard has been remarkably high (48.8%) when he is on the road and defending other starting PGs this year (97th percentile).

The Rockets have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Rockets will likely see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).

The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Bucks, making this a challenging matchup.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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