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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has converted 5.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.9 minutes per game this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 3.0 three-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Rockets rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Houston Rockets.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production for all stats.

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