Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 9:59 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should raise possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In terms of threes, the Houston Rockets's poor 33.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 30.6% on three-pointers (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making this a tough matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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