Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2025

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 1, 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 13.3 shots per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Fred VanVleet has played 34.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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