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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet places in the 90th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 33.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet slots into the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.

With respect to 3-pointers, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.2% rate of made threes measures as the 2nd-weakest in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

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