Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet has converted 84.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 8.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has made a mere 28.6% of his 3-point shots this year, significantly lower than his 37.8 rate last year.
In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's subpar 106.2 points per game as the away team comes in as the 9th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 11.3 shot attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hornets).
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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