Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 18.2 shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet has converted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.5% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 4th-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on three-pointers (9th-worst in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Kings).
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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