Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has made 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's made over the course of the season on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a favorable one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 9th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.7%).
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 0.8 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the 76ers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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