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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 11/26/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Fred VanVleet has attempted 6.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Fred VanVleet has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 87th percentile.
  • The quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
  • The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Fred VanVleet has sunk 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's subpar 44.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 4th-weakest in the league this year.
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have shot for the lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%).
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Rockets.
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).
  • Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production across the board.

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