Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 15, 2024 11:45 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 87th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc on his home court, compiling 7.0 per game this year.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 33.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for scoring; when the Clippers are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 7th-highest FG% in the league this year (45.6%).
The 7th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 6 games has been the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the league with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Fred VanVleet has converted a lowly 65.6% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly less than his 84.8 mark last year.

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