Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 21.2 points per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has notched a measly 13.9 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 17.4 points per game last year.
Fred VanVleet has converted a mere 2.1 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly less than his 3.1 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 106.8 points per game away from home places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

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