Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.1 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against San Antonio is a good one for threes; when the Spurs are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

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