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Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-150/+115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet places in the 80th percentile for shots with the home court advantage, posting 13.4 per game since the start of last season.Fred VanVleet has sunk 3.1 three-point shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.6 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.3 fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season.As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 45.6% field goal rate settles in as the 3rd-lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 4.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, branding this as a challenging matchup.The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Knicks).
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