Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Orlando Magic · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:47 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.9 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will likely see an increase in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 16.2 rate, Fred VanVleet's shots taken have been reduced this season to 13.6 per game.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).

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