Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 7:23 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 97th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 7.9 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 36.6 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Rockets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, creating a challenging matchup.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production across the board.

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