Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 4.3 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year at home.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 24.4 points per game (highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
When it comes to scoring, the Rockets's feeble 42.7% field goal percentage comes in as the fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet has sunk just 2.5 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 3.7 rate last year.

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