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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The 2nd-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted a measly 13.5 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 16.2 rate last season.

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).

The Rockets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have posted the 28th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (29.8%).

The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Houston Rockets.

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