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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a positive matchup.

The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.

The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.0 fouls per game while at home this year.

The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

While on the road, the Spurs have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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