Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 36.7 minutes per game this year.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Suns).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 16.2 mark, Fred VanVleet's shots from the field have dropped this year to 13.4 per game.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The matchup against the Suns is a tough one; they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 15 games (16.0).
The Phoenix Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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