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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 29.2 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The Rockets will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).

The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted a measly 13.4 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 16.2 rate last year.

Fred VanVleet has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.

The Rockets check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Over the last 25 games, the other team has snagged 11.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (maintaining possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Fred VanVleet has sunk a mere 2.5 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.7 rate last season.

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