Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 7.8 per game this year.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 36.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The 6th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted a mere 13.4 shots from the field per game this season, significantly lower than his 16.2 rate last season.
Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile).
As it relates to shooting, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 111.6 points per game away from home measures as the 7th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year, the other team has collected 12.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Thunder (continuing possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).
Fred VanVleet ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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