Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 36.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet should get a boost in performance for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 16.2 clip, Fred VanVleet's shots taken have decreased this year to 13.7 per game.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
In terms of offense, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 113.4 points per game ranks 10th-fewest in the league this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 23.6% on 3-pointers (15th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors, creating a hard matchup.
The Raptors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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