Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Rockets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 11th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
When playing on the road, the Lakers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet has made a measly 2.7 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.7 rate last season.

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