Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.1 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 37.1 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted just 14.0 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 16.2 mark last year.
Fred VanVleet has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's feeble 112.0 points per game when playing away from home rates 9th-lowest in the league this year.
The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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