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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.6 minutes per game this year.

The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet rates in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.

The Rockets check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The Rockets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year.

The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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