Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 17.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Fred VanVleet has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a positive one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.2).
The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, registering a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Rockets's unimpressive 112.7 points per game measures as the 7th-worst in the NBA this year.
The 4th-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Fred VanVleet stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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