Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 6, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-150/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has sunk 53.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season while on his home court.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Rockets rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have scored 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making this a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 8.8 rate, Fred VanVleet's shot attempts from beyond the arc have fallen this season to 7.5 per game.
The Rockets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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