Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has registered 22.6 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.0 more than he's registered in all games this season on the road.
Fred VanVleet has successfully made 49.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 8.9% more than he's made from three overall this season when playing away from home.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 38.0 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.5).
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

The 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 14 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).
Fred VanVleet is expected to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.

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