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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has logged 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's logged over the course of the year.

In contrast to last season's 5.8 mark, Fred VanVleet's bricked 3-point shots have declined this season to 4.8 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 100th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 38.5 minutes per game this year.

With respect to treys, the Houston Rockets's fantastic 38.9% rate of converted threes while playing at home rates 8th-best in the NBA this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (22nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while at home this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has captured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the league).

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