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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 7.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 36.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's stellar 39.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 6th-best in the league over the last 11 games.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 2.8 threes per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a favorable matchup.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 16th percentile for shooting effectiveness with a a poor 38.1% rate this year.

The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line.

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