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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.

Fred VanVleet has averaged a mere 1.7 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.8 fouls per game last year.

When it comes to shooting, the Houston Rockets's exceptional 47.9% field goal percentage on their home court comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 16.2 clip, Fred VanVleet's field goal attempts have tailed off this season to 14.2 per game.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 4thworst in in the league as the road team with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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