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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 96th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing away from home, compiling 8.5 per game this year.
  • Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
  • Fred VanVleet has committed a lowly 1.9 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.8 fouls per game last season.
  • Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied 6.6 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a strong matchup.
  • The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Rockets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
  • The Rockets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • While on their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Fred VanVleet has converted a lowly 2.1 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 3.7 rate last year.
  • The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the league).

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