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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 96th percentile for 3-point shots hit when playing away from home, averaging 3.2 per game this year.
  • Fred VanVleet has played 33.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's impressive 117.8 points per game while on the road rates 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet measures in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness while on his home court with a a very good 95.2% rate this year.
  • Fred VanVleet will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have totaled 16.7 points per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
  • The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league on the road this year.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Rockets.
  • The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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