Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 90th percentile for shots on his home court, tallying 16.3 per game since the start of last season.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.9 3-pointers per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.8 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 37.7% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while at home ranks 3rd-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league while on their home court this year.

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