Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 90th percentile for shots taken, tallying 16.2 per game since the start of last season.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.8 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.7 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (37.8%).
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Kings).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
In regard to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
The 7th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

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