Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.2 field goals per game while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.8 3-point shots per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.5 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game since the start of last season.
In regard to offense, the Rockets's poor 110.4 points per game places 3rd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, opposing starting PGs have averaged 31.1% on 3-pointers (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season.
Without the home court advantage, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).