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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 15.9 shots per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.8 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.

The matchup against Boston is a good one for scoring; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 27th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (7.3).

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.7 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the league).

Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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