Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 10:36 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 18.4 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a favorable one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 23rd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.1%).
The Hornets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on their home court, which should boost plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has made just 3.1 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.7 mark last season.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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