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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has averaged 20.2 points per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's best in this category.

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.3 three-point shots per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a good one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (36.5%).

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Raptors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.2 free throws per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

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