Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.7 shots per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has played 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (36.5%).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (85th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Fred VanVleet will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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